Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Virginia Tech (21-33) | 4 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 5 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
Boston College (17-32) | 7 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -0.5 | 53% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Clemson (47-16) | 3 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 49% | ✘ | |
Louisville (45-19) | 1 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -0.5 | 51% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Virginia (29-25) | 2 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 3 | +2.0 | 38% | ✔ | |
Miami (FL) (28-26) | 3 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -2.0 | 62% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Florida State (43-19) | 8 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 5 | +1.5 | 41% | ✔ | |
North Carolina (44-20) | 16 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -1.5 | 59% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Florida State (43-19) | 6 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 5 | +1.5 | 41% | ✘ | |
North Carolina (44-20) | 3 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | -1.5 | 59% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Georgia Tech (31-27) | 2 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 5 | +2.0 | 37% | ✔ | |
North Carolina State (42-18) | 5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -2.0 | 63% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Georgia Tech (31-27) | 13 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 5 | +2.0 | 37% | ✘ | |
North Carolina State (42-18) | 4 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -2.0 | 63% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Wake Forest (25-32) | 2 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 6 | -0.5 | 53% | ✘ | |
Notre Dame (24-30) | 5 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | +0.5 | 47% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Duke (45-18) | 12 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 6 | -4.0 | 74% | ✔ | |
Pittsburgh (29-26) | 6 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 2 | +4.0 | 26% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 67%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 56%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 67%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 56%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.